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Commentary

Carmichael: Galen Weston’s base-hit theory of productivity

It’s rare that we hear from Galen Weston, one of the country’s most important decision-makers, so let’s go back to his recent podcast interview with Goldy Hyder, the head of the Business Council of Canada. 

Commentary

Carmichael: Galen Weston’s base-hit theory of productivity

The Loblaw boss avoids home-run swings. He thinks Canada should, too

By Kevin Carmichael
A Loblaws store in Toronto in 2018. Photo: The Canadian Press/Nathan Denette
Sep 11, 2024
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It’s rare that we hear from Galen Weston, one of the country’s most important decision-makers, so let’s go back to his recent podcast interview with Goldy Hyder, the head of the Business Council of Canada. 

The interview wasn’t hard-hitting—the heads of industry groups don’t usually embarrass their members in public. Still, when Weston said one of the things that keeps him up at night is Canada’s long-term prosperity, Hyder pointed out that as one of the country’s largest employers, Weston was uniquely placed to do something about it. 

“I’m in a position of enormous privilege, with resources, with a voice, and with access to very, very bright, smart people,” Weston, the effective head of Loblaw, the country’s biggest grocery chain,  acknowledged. “We need to have more constructive dialogue with the private sector so that our ideas are heard and understood in the way that they are intended.”

Even if you believe Weston is “greedflation” personified, you could still learn something from what he has to say about creating wealth—a prerequisite for maintaining the quality of life to which we’ve become accustomed, because an aging population means there will be fewer workers around to keep the economy growing. The Weston family has been doing it since the 1880s, when George Weston started baking bread.

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“We’re four generations,” Weston said. “It makes you think in decades, not in quarters.” 

One lesson is the need for strong competition regulation. Earlier this year, Weston apologized for George Weston Ltd.’s part in fixing the price of packaged bread between 2001 and 2015, agreeing to pay $500 million to settle a class-action lawsuit. 

But the Weston family’s business legacy is bigger than one scandal. I found it interesting how Weston thinks about risk. If politicians get over the current fashion of villainizing the rich, they might get some ideas about how to confront the productivity crisis. 

“When you are thinking about prosperity over the course of decades, taking a swing that leads to the end of your enterprise doesn’t make sense,” Weston said. “Adding a base hit to a base hit to a base hit over 30 years is going to create more durability, more tenure and more prosperity for the company.”

Galen G. Weston, smiling and wearing glasses and a navy suit, sits at a Parliament committee hearing.
Galen G. Weston at a House of Commons committee meeting on food price inflation in Ottawa, in March 2023. Photo: The Canadian Press/Spencer Colby

Weston added: “I think that same concept can apply to the country as a whole. But it’s got to be singles. The country has to hit singles intentionally and continue to advance around the bases. It can’t be foul ball after foul ball after foul ball.” 

There’s an echo of Moneyball, the Michael Lewis book about how the small-budget Oakland Athletics managed to stay competitive in the early 2000s by finding players who were good at getting on base—and were undervalued at a time when teams would routinely get into bidding wars over home-run hitters. 

George Weston isn’t an underdog. It could finance a moonshot if it wanted to. But Galen G. Weston isn’t Elon Musk, Loblaw isn’t Tesla and Bay Street isn’t Wall Street. Maybe the Weston family’s lesson for the rest of us is to play to our strengths. 

Canada is a rich economy, with a nice mix of natural resources, a manufacturing base, financial stability, predictable courts and a decent amount of brainpower. We should strive to be more dynamic, but maybe the way to do that is incrementally—not all at once. We don’t have as much room for error as the U.S. and China. Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland’s relatively sudden commitment to fiscal guardrails is a recognition that the federal government has maxed out its credit card.  

A moneyball strategy requires a lot of hard work. Billy Beane, the general manager who Michael Lewis made famous to a business audience, had to fight the received wisdom of how you win baseball games and commit to letting the data guide his decisions. 

There is some recent evidence Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is ready to do some of that work. Last month, the government announced that Treasury Board President Anita Anand will create a working group to study ways to improve government productivity, and that she and Intergovernmental Affairs Minister Dominic Leblanc will attempt to accelerate efforts to reduce regulatory friction between the provinces. Earlier this week, the Liberal Party said former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney will lead a committee tasked with developing “new ideas for the next phase of Canada’s strategy for near- and longer-term economic growth and productivity,” while helping the federal Liberals “shape a pragmatic, focused and high-impact vision for Canada’s economic success.” 

Trudeau’s tendency has been to take big swings. He turned his back on bipartisan commitment to balance budgets to create technology clusters from scratch, set up multibillion-dollar innovation funds and stand up new agencies such as the Canada Infrastructure Bank. 

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Some of those big bets may yet pay off, but the productivity numbers suggest it might be time to choke up on the bat and simply try to get on base.

Kevin Carmichael is The Logic’s economics columnist and editor-at-large. He has spent more than two decades covering economics, business and finance for outlets including Bloomberg News, The Globe and Mail and the Financial Post, where he also served as editor-in-chief. 

#commentary #economy #Galen Weston #productivity

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Photo: The Canadian Press/Nathan Denette

Galen G. Weston, smiling and wearing glasses and a navy suit, sits at a Parliament committee hearing.

Galen G. Weston at a House of Commons committee meeting on food price inflation in Ottawa, in March 2023.

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